May 5, 2012
Consider what the different sides in economic debate have been predicting these past six or seven years. If you got your views from, say, the Wall Street Journal editorial page, you knew – knew – that there was no housing bubble, that America in 2008 wasn’t in recession, that budget deficits would send interest rates sky-high, that the Fed’s expansion of its balance sheet would produce huge inflation, that austerity policies would lead to economic expansion.Krugman links to a commentary saying that people are more likely to accept a credible argument when some knowledgeable person in their “cultural community” accepts it. But that doesn’t go nearly far enough. The truth is that a large part of the public doesn’t understand the difference between “fact” and “opinion.” Put another way, the falsehood or veracity of something is not judged by actual data, results, or real-world experience, but by whether one believes that a thing is supposed to be true, or not. And the arbiter of suppositions is one’s adopted ideology.
That’s quite a record. And yet I’m well aware that many people – including people with real money at stake – consider the WSJ a reliable source and people like, well, me flaky and unbelievable.
You might remember awhile back I took on a rightie comment thread challenging the notion that Paul Krugman has been “wrong time and time again. The fascinating thing about this exercise was that the righties in the thread had absolutely no idea what I meant by “wrong.” What I meant — and which I explained several times — is show me something that Krugman predicted about the economy that turned out to be wrong. Show me when he said the economy would do X and it actually did Y.
And of course, they couldn’t do that. Instead, they simply linked to his columns (which I suspect they hadn’t read) without explaining why they were wrong, or dredged up the old story about his having worked as a consultant for Enron.
In their minds, Krugman is “wrong” because he says things that contradict what right-wing think tank economists say. The actual track record of the think tankers versus Krugman is irrelevant.
From time to time I’ve caught flak from people who think I should try harder to communicate with righties. The truth is that years ago I went through a phrase of really, really trying, being respectful and patient and polite and just presenting facts and reason. And after a long time I gave up, because I realized I might as well be trying to teach a toaster to tap dance.
There’s very little you can disucss with people who don’t understand what a “fact” is.
The Left is not immune from irrationality, of course. We have our “Obama is worse than Bush” and “The Democrats are just as bad” crowd. The difference is that the leftie-bots generally are not totally untethered from facts; they just cherry pick the facts that support what they want to believe and declare everything else irrelevant.
But righties refuse to acknowledge anything that might wander into the world of evidence-based objectivity. The only truth that matters is what their ideology tells them is supposed to be true, and the hell with reality.
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*Do* click her link to the original above so she gets some traffic out of this. Please.
15 comments:
Howie's da foisteiest, all you sleepyheads!!
Fertilize another behind my lover’s back
By DougJ, Head of Infidelity May 5th, 2012
This is pretty awesome (h/t General Stuck):
An anti-gay Alabama Republican was reportedly making secret sperm donations to at least nine New Zealand women he met over the internet, unbeknownst to his wife back in America.
Bill Johnson, who made a failed bid for governor of Alabama in 2010, anonymously donated sperm to lesbian couples in New Zealand, according to a report by the New Zealand Herald.
Johnson has spent much of the last year in Christchurch, where he moved without his wife and her three kids (from a previous marriage), in order to help the country’s recovery from the February earthquake.
All the while Johnson was reportedly trolling the internet under the username “chchbill” for women who needed help getting pregnant. He reportedly had exchanges with at least nine women — among them several lesbians — at least three of whom are now pregnant.
HOWARD ALERT! he's going to be on face the nation in the next hour - on cbs.
good morning puddle! I'll click over to the article in a bit. thank you!
sorry you didn't see the moon last night but hopefully it will be clear for you tonight, the best night!
Good Morning, Jo and Puddle.
Getting ready for our New Orleans visit. Will have people here while we're gone, but I won't probably be visiting "Into the Future" for a couple of weeks.
Still no rain here, but the moon was wonderful last night, that silvery, abalone white as it traversed a lacework of clouds. We took photos at about 2 AM.
And so the politics continue on. It's nice to have a little distance, to recognize that the conflicts and disagreements always are, but in some cases, reason and good will win out.
Have a good day. Thanks again, Jo, for this website and you also, Puddle, for your sustaining and loyalty.
hope you have a lovely vacation Pat - will miss you!
I'm happy to do the blog - let me know if you would like to post threads and I'll set you up - you always have important thoughts to share.
I love puddle's threads and perspective - and teamwork makes it easy to stay fresh!
Hi again Jo,
Thank you for the compliment, and interesting, to be able to start a thread. I'll think on it.
On NPR this morning, a woman who has written a book about Haiti, remarked that it is the warmest, most loving and supportive culture. She quoted the poet Issa, "I looked into the dragonfly's eye and saw a mountain behind my shoulder."
Why is it that sometimes those who have least give most? I thought about the vows of poverty, chastity and obedience that monastics took, and then our culture of consumerism: to be rich is good, chastity is merely self-denial, and no one's going to tell me what to do.
Do you suppose those monks and nuns knew something we don't? Just a thought
I think we are going to have to have a world culture change is we are to save the planet and ourselves. To consume as the primary reason for a state and economy seems self destructive to me.
Anyway, will drop in and out. We have a Canyon breakfast this morning to benefit our volunteer fire dept.
Good Morning all--just plugging along here with GSO doing one of the things it does best--sustain its community with community sponsored events. We have several Saturday farmers markets on the edge of downtown--now today is the opening of the S.Elm Urban Market--produce and arts and crafts and local merchants invited to participate.
Farther north on Elm at Center City Park
is the dedication of another leg of a four mile biker/walker loop around all of downtown. This leg includes a section which crosses a highway underpass
Artist hired to paint
scenes on the buttresses of the overpass. Saw a bit of it last week--very colorful and the very bright
colors fit that neighborhood. We still have old-fashioned neighborhoods with their original names close in and on the outer edges of downtown. Of course, developers have grabbed some land on the outskirts
and done their work:(
I love the title
"On teaching toasters to tap dance."
Keep on healing, Jo.
Pat, I hope we don't have to wait on the *whole* world to get it. I have for long thought of Deaniacs as *yeast*. . . . Who move a whole lot more than their dry weight would indicate they could.
Of the three, giving over to the Other has always been my bête noire. Chastity can come and go, I'm willin', lol! )Though I'll admit that the concept of its being *good* all around and at all times kind of escapes me. . . ). And I've *never* understood either the "keepin' up wit the Joneses" nor simply owning stuff 'cause it cost a lot. But, letting someone else make my decisions? Even the Universe? Hard as heck for me. Even when I *know* I'm wrong. . . . Glad we get more than a single life to work this stuff out: humans is *slow* learners. . . .
Shirlee -- I posted the Vote Against video over at facebook again. Getting SO close. Voting mercies on ya'll!!
Working All Day for a Mean Little Man
By mistermix May 6th, 2012
The Obama campaign’s Julia site is an attempt to show the benefits of the different social programs created or protected by the Obama Administration by tracking a fictional woman, Julia, through different stages of her life. I’m too marinated in politics, not to mention too used to having a penis, to know how it will strike the target audience. But something must be right about it, since it’s got Morning Joe making asshole remarks:
MSNBC’s Joe Scarborough: “Who brushes her teeth?”
Interestingly enough, after micturating on the parts where Julia’s behavior strays outside the lines of the Catholic Bishops’ color-by-numbers plan for non-orgasmic women who preserve their precious sexuality for procreation, Douthat seems to like it:
The condescension inherent in this vision is apparent in every step of Julia’s pilgrimage toward a community-gardening retirement. But in an increasingly atomized society, where communities and families are weaker than ever before, such a vision may have more appeal — to both genders — than many of the conservatives mocking the slide show might like to believe.
Translation: proles like Pell Grants, low-interest Student Loans, insurance policies that cover birth control, Medicare and Social Security, and when you give them five minutes to think about how losing some or all of those things might affect their lives, they may just vote for Democrats.
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The world is whole, and vewy vewy small. . . .
Hi again,
Just back from the Canyon breakfast. A terrific turnout, cars all along the highway, about 100 seated, and it's been ongoing since 8 AM. Lots of donations for raffles, and The Egg and I in Loveland donated the eggs for breakfast. Even little kids carrying trays, asking would you like some more ham or sausage?
Love this community.
I concur with you, Puddle, on the obedience thing. I grew up in a large extended family, and many times, they made decisions for us. I've said that "should, must and ought" have been the oner of my life.
Living in a communal society in Samoa, I recognized the pattern. Many times the individual was subject to the greater good for the whole of the family.
I think sometimes our individualism has worked against us; though, I also think our generation has worked hard for those individual prerogatives.
It comes down to, I think, asking ourselves what is our life for? What is the overriding purpose we live for? I think the 24/7 commercial distractions make it hard to concentrate on the bigger questions.
Looks like Hollande has won the Presidency of France.
Be back in a bit.
I like your comment, Shirlee, on healing. Yes. It was/is needed.
Just back from the market AND the Greenway dedication.
At the latter was Lauralynn Dosset and her band making things lively with their Piedmont music.
My daughter-- who was the events planner for this--Mom Brag--and I were just wondering if Lauralynn would do her "Vote Against Amendment One" at this venue. Well, she did it in the first set--and again in the second--to much applause both times.
And thank YOU Puddle for putting it on fb! It would be such an evil thing to add to our state. constitution.
Shirlee, sounds like one lovely day!! I wish I could see her in person -- I love the music, and really admire her effort! Keeping my fingers and heart crossed for you guys the next couple of days.
Jo, and anyone else with a blog: do NOT click on the referrer links. I used to all the time, and it was interesting to see who'd linked me. But this new set of sobs needs riding out of town on a rail.
http://lordhtml.blogspot.com/2012/04/beware-www4best-arucheckercom-is-spam.html
TWO of our referrers on on this list! Ack!
Thanks for the good voting wishes, Puddle.
When I was at the market I saw a woman 30'ish at her booth with two young men about the same age standing along one side. With a pointed finger and fire in her eye she pointed to the first one and said, "You ARE voting against Amendment One?? He acknowledged he was.
She then pointed at the second one and said "and you?" No answer. With even more fire and in a louder voice she said--"YOU, look at me, you ARE voting NO." He nodded his
head yes. I found the whole exchange interesting. A great example of a young woman definitely in charge of a private conversation in a public setting.
Good Night All--love it here!!!!!
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